Universal statistical signatures of evolution in artificial intelligence architectures
Abstract
The study finds that artificial intelligence architectural evolution follows the same statistical patterns as biological evolution, including similar fitness effect distributions and convergence dynamics.
We test whether artificial intelligence architectural evolution obeys the same statistical laws as biological evolution. Compiling 935 ablation experiments from 161 publications, we show that the distribution of fitness effects (DFE) of architectural modifications follows a heavy-tailed Student's t-distribution with proportions (68% deleterious, 19% neutral, 13% beneficial for major ablations, n=568) that place AI between compact viral genomes and simple eukaryotes. The DFE shape matches D. melanogaster (normalized KS=0.07) and S. cerevisiae (KS=0.09); the elevated beneficial fraction (13% vs. 1-6% in biology) quantifies the advantage of directed over blind search while preserving the distributional form. Architectural origination follows logistic dynamics (R^2=0.994) with punctuated equilibria and adaptive radiation into domain niches. Fourteen architectural traits were independently invented 3-5 times, paralleling biological convergences. These results demonstrate that the statistical structure of evolution is substrate-independent, determined by fitness landscape topology rather than the mechanism of selection.
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I compiled 935 ablation experiments from 161 ML papers and computed the distribution of fitness effects (DFE) of architectural modifications. The DFE is heavy-tailed Student's-t, close to Drosophila (KS=0.07) and yeast (KS=0.09); architectural origination follows logistic dynamics (R²=0.994) with the radiation-curve shape seen in Cambrian trilobites and post-extinction mammals (cover). 14 architectural traits — including attention, gating, and residual connections — were independently reinvented 3–5 times. If the statistical structure of evolution is indeed substrate-independent, a concrete prediction follows: the DFE beneficial fraction should shrink predictably as subfields mature.
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